Articles
Match reports and patterns from the games that mattered, with the tactics behind the result.
Italy vs France prediction: France's Compact Shape Meets Italy's Search for Control
Italy host France in the Nations League with France favoured at 51%, as both sides weigh recent attacking form against France's tighter defensive record.
Italy France
Data driven decision making in football: judging the process, not the result
A decision process built on probabilities lets boards and staff separate a good call from a good outcome, using habits you can start in your next meeting.
Fiorentina vs Juventus Results: Pellegrino and Njie Twice Forced Juve to Chase
Fiorentina against Juventus ended 2-2 at the Franchi, with the hosts leading twice and Juventus pulling level through Woltemade and Bremer despite holding most of the ball.
Villarreal vs Getafe Results: Late Goals Break Bordalás's Low Block
Villarreal against Getafe ended 2-0 to the hosts, with Tajon Buchanan scoring on 80 minutes and Carlos Romero adding a second in the 90th after long, patient pressure.
Lens vs Marseille Results: Gouiri's Early Strike and Abdallah's Late Winner Lift OM
In the Lens vs Marseille last match, Marseille beat Lens 2-1 in Ligue 1 after Keyliane Abdallah's 82nd-minute winner answered Florian Thauvin's equaliser.
Inter vs Como: Two Early Goals Settle It Against Possession
Inter vs Como finished 2-0 at San Siro, with both goals inside 19 minutes and Como's 57% possession producing almost nothing.
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: Fermín López Double Flips Early Deficit
In Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona, Fermín López scored either side of half-time to turn Giuliano Simeone's early opener into a 2-1 win that kept Barcelona top.
Napoli vs Lazio: Own Goal Rescues Napoli Against League Leaders
Napoli vs Lazio finished 1-1 after Alfonso Pedraza's own goal cancelled out Davide Frattesi's opener, leaving Lazio top and Napoli tenth.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Results: Delap Double Beats City's Possession
Nottingham Forest beat Manchester City 3-1 at home, with Liam Delap scoring twice and Jair Cunha once, despite City holding 78% of the ball.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Score: Güler and Valverde Break a Deep 5-3-2
Real Madrid beat Valencia 3-0 at Mestalla, with Valverde and Güler scoring inside nine first-half minutes and Mbappé sealing it in the 75th.
Leeds vs Tottenham: Okafor's Late Winner Rewards a Compact 3-4-2-1
Leeds vs Tottenham ended 1-0 at Elland Road as Noah Okafor struck in the 79th minute, punishing a Spurs side that dominated the ball but created little.
Inter vs Como Prediction: Second Meets Fourth at San Siro
Inter vs Como pits second against fourth in Serie A, with Kickwise leaning toward the hosts at 51% in a tie between a strong attack and a mean defence.
Everton vs Coventry: Barry's Double Turns the Game After Gboho Strike
Everton vs Coventry City finished 3-1 at Goodison as Thierno Barry scored twice in five minutes after Yann Gboho's equaliser, and Dewsbury-Hall sealed it late.
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: Early Goals Hold Off a Late Dutch Surge
In AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus, two first-half goals from Koopmeiners and Kolo Muani were enough, even as the hosts outshot them and pulled one back late.
Predictive Analytics in Football: Using Pre-Match Probabilities as Decision Tools
A pre-match probability is a measure of fixture difficulty, not a tip: how to use it for preparation, rotation and board reviews, and how to test any forecast first.
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC: Lenny Joseph's Clinical Double Beats Possession
Lenny Joseph scored twice after the break as Ferencvarosi beat AC Milan 2-0 in the Europa League, despite Milan's 70% possession and a red card for the visitors.
FC Porto vs Napoli: How Red Card Chaos Sealed a 4-1 Rout
FC Porto vs Napoli ended 4-1 at the Dragao as Porto led twice, scored three times in the last 20 minutes and punished a Napoli side that cracked late.
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: Late Valverde Strike Rescues Mourinho's Side
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid ended 3-2 to the visitors, who trailed twice and needed Federico Valverde's 90th-minute winner after Mbappé's equaliser.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: Late Surge Turns Istanbul Tie on Its Head
In Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool, the hosts scored three times in 11 second-half minutes to overturn a 2-1 deficit and win 3-2 in the Champions League.
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: Early Goals and a Late Scare in Prague
Arsenal beat Slavia Praha 2-1 in the Champions League, leading through Madueke and Gyökeres before Nowak's 90th-minute goal made the finish tense.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa Score: Raphinha Double Seals Control After Early Yamal Strike
Barcelona beat Aston Villa 3-0 in the Champions League, with Lamine Yamal scoring early and Raphinha adding two goals either side of the hour.
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: Four Goals in 17 Minutes Decide Tie
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain finished 0-6 as the visitors scored four times by the 17th minute and Fabián Ruiz added a second after the break.
Manchester United vs AS Roma: Cunha Double Rescues Comeback After Early Penalty Blow
Manchester United against AS Roma ended 3-2 as Matheus Cunha scored twice in three minutes after Roma had led 2-0 inside 17 minutes.
FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction: Porto Favored but Short on Defenders
FC Porto vs Napoli in the Champions League league stage pits a struggling home side against a leaky visitor, with Kickwise leaning Porto at 44%.